Saturday, December 24, 2005
Gonna have to disagree with this one
But the goal of oddsmaking for the casino oddsmakers is not to predict the outcome of a game, it is to furnish the bettors with a betting line that will split the public in two with half of the people betting one side and half on the other.
Or what I should say is he didn't go far enough.
This here is a quote from one of my sponsers. Sorry can't remeber who - just click on all of them. lol
How did I pick Friday's games? Simple. Which betting community would be busy traveling and which would still be betting as if there was no tomorrow. Now I know L.A. going up against Orlando should have been a bet on L.A. on Friday, but sometimes you can't help what else you see.
My point here is this. Chicago, New York, Philly are cities where the offsprings migrate away from their parents. These folks whether they are currently living in North Carolina, Georgia, or California remain loyal to their old home town teams. They simply were to busy to bet. And what about the folks and family in these cities getting ready for the family members to come visit and stay with them from out of state? do you think they were betting on a Nicks game they couldn't watch? Do you think it would have made a difference whether the New Jersy line was +1, +3, +6, or +8? If the New Jersy/New York crowd is not in the position to bet, they arn't going to. The line shift did not balance the betting pool. It just swung the odds against the main players betting the game.
Now I know what you are thinking. Like people loyal to Georgia teams don't gamble - yeah right. The hard could fact is. The person that hop on a flight from Atlanta to New York will tell you. That New York airport was freaking insane compare to the Atlanta airport. Georgians were simply not disrupted by holiday travel the way a New Yorker was. Like I said before. Not betting L.A. was a mistake. What are you going to do. Seattle's push? Maybe I was pushing my luck, but damn tat city is so young. At least it's folks are.
My point?
The lines were not invented to place half the bettors on one side of the line and half on the other. There were invented knowing damn will whether the New Jersy line was +1, + 6, or +8 it just didn't matter. Nothing could swing the bettors over to New Jersy because they just had to much going on Friday.
Before I get emails asking me why Chicago doesn't lose against the spread on every single game, after all Chicago is Las Vegas biggest customer. All I have to say is when Chicago loses against the spread 3 times in a row. My home town is ready to turn on it's team in a heart beat. Bottom line is even if Chicago's pool of money is larger than it's oppotent - which it is every game. You can't have Chicago lose against the spread every day, or the bettors will turn. But why not let them win when most are not betting, so you can take them the next day?
Now I know Chicago didn't play Friday. But the Bears are playing Sunday. So now what? Up here in Chicago we are all settled in. Are we betting? What can be gain with us losing against the spread? What can be gain with us beating the spread?
If you were the Star Dust Hotel and Casino what would you do? If Chicago covers the spread tomorrow. This will be done in the presense of family members with the good ole gambling vice and the talk of what they should have done. Could it be an investment for the next time? Stir the juices?
But how does the Star Dust Hotel and Casino play into what goes on in Chicago? Ever been to the Star Dust? I'll admit it's been a few years for me. I remember the dozen old wise guys with their oxygen tanks and cigars waiting for the call from their bosses to let them know where they needed the money placed to balance their books. Times may have change, but I am betting on tradition here.
Time to make a complete @s out of myslef with my picks. What can I say - may have a gambling problem, betting on Christmas day
Chicago Bears -7 risk 110 to win 100
New York Jets +6 1/2 risk 110 to win 100
I placed my bets with nine only because it is the one I could remember my account and password off the top of my head. If you are in a position to shop the lines - do it, a 1/2 point can be life or death.
I just thought if your gonna take my advise. You should know where it comes from. Yes i am influence by a teams ability. What can I say it cost me on the L.A. game.
Or what I should say is he didn't go far enough.
This here is a quote from one of my sponsers. Sorry can't remeber who - just click on all of them. lol
How did I pick Friday's games? Simple. Which betting community would be busy traveling and which would still be betting as if there was no tomorrow. Now I know L.A. going up against Orlando should have been a bet on L.A. on Friday, but sometimes you can't help what else you see.
My point here is this. Chicago, New York, Philly are cities where the offsprings migrate away from their parents. These folks whether they are currently living in North Carolina, Georgia, or California remain loyal to their old home town teams. They simply were to busy to bet. And what about the folks and family in these cities getting ready for the family members to come visit and stay with them from out of state? do you think they were betting on a Nicks game they couldn't watch? Do you think it would have made a difference whether the New Jersy line was +1, +3, +6, or +8? If the New Jersy/New York crowd is not in the position to bet, they arn't going to. The line shift did not balance the betting pool. It just swung the odds against the main players betting the game.
Now I know what you are thinking. Like people loyal to Georgia teams don't gamble - yeah right. The hard could fact is. The person that hop on a flight from Atlanta to New York will tell you. That New York airport was freaking insane compare to the Atlanta airport. Georgians were simply not disrupted by holiday travel the way a New Yorker was. Like I said before. Not betting L.A. was a mistake. What are you going to do. Seattle's push? Maybe I was pushing my luck, but damn tat city is so young. At least it's folks are.
My point?
The lines were not invented to place half the bettors on one side of the line and half on the other. There were invented knowing damn will whether the New Jersy line was +1, + 6, or +8 it just didn't matter. Nothing could swing the bettors over to New Jersy because they just had to much going on Friday.
Before I get emails asking me why Chicago doesn't lose against the spread on every single game, after all Chicago is Las Vegas biggest customer. All I have to say is when Chicago loses against the spread 3 times in a row. My home town is ready to turn on it's team in a heart beat. Bottom line is even if Chicago's pool of money is larger than it's oppotent - which it is every game. You can't have Chicago lose against the spread every day, or the bettors will turn. But why not let them win when most are not betting, so you can take them the next day?
Now I know Chicago didn't play Friday. But the Bears are playing Sunday. So now what? Up here in Chicago we are all settled in. Are we betting? What can be gain with us losing against the spread? What can be gain with us beating the spread?
If you were the Star Dust Hotel and Casino what would you do? If Chicago covers the spread tomorrow. This will be done in the presense of family members with the good ole gambling vice and the talk of what they should have done. Could it be an investment for the next time? Stir the juices?
But how does the Star Dust Hotel and Casino play into what goes on in Chicago? Ever been to the Star Dust? I'll admit it's been a few years for me. I remember the dozen old wise guys with their oxygen tanks and cigars waiting for the call from their bosses to let them know where they needed the money placed to balance their books. Times may have change, but I am betting on tradition here.
Time to make a complete @s out of myslef with my picks. What can I say - may have a gambling problem, betting on Christmas day
Chicago Bears -7 risk 110 to win 100
New York Jets +6 1/2 risk 110 to win 100
I placed my bets with nine only because it is the one I could remember my account and password off the top of my head. If you are in a position to shop the lines - do it, a 1/2 point can be life or death.
I just thought if your gonna take my advise. You should know where it comes from. Yes i am influence by a teams ability. What can I say it cost me on the L.A. game.
Subscribe to Posts [Atom]