Saturday, September 30, 2006

 

I won I won - Let Ride

Ticket #
Sep-30 3:30:00 PM
Sep-30 3:20:39 PM
CFB STRAIGHT BET
[330] ARMY u44½-107

Risk 535 to Win 500

Ticket #
Sep-30 3:35:21
Sep-30 3:24:14 PM
CFB STRAIGHT BET
[362] TEXAS A&M u56-107
Risk 535 to win 500

 

Trickling in the losses

It has not ben good since i won the 5 game parlay. Could of, should have won on the Cubs. But I got greedy and gave up 1/2 for an extra $150 in profits.

Here is my pick for better or worse, not until I cash in some money will I go back to parlays.

Ticket #
Date of Event
Sep-30 12:00:00
PM INTERNET/-1
Date of Event
Sep-29 8:32:09 PM
CFB STRAIGHT BET
[313] WISCONSIN o41½-107

Risk 535 to Win 500

Wednesday, September 27, 2006

 

I know this is messed up

Maybe I should re-instate my emailings, so you folks know when I decide to shake off the dust.

Not that I think I will win, but I like the value of this bet.

Ticket #
Event Time
Sep-27 8:05:00 PM
Wager Placed
Sep-27 7:23:15 PM

MLB STRAIGHT BET
CHICAGO CUB -1½+170 ( D BUSH -R / R HILL -L )
Risk 400 to Win 680

Saturday, September 23, 2006

 

Taking the Weekend off

Did a little hunting this morning.

Tested out the flower add I posted - Order some flowers that were received less than 12 hours later, been told they were nice.

Will be buying a security system from another of my ads and a muzzle loader from yet another.

I test all my sponsors and make sure they are in your best interest. Hope you consider buying what you need here. After all it will be a cold day in hell before I ever get a commission check from a sport books - WE ARE UP BIG ON THEM - AND YES THEY ALL PAY!!!! Congratulations to all of you that have been beating up the bookie.

Monday, September 18, 2006

 

Time to turn this minnie losing streak around

It's been a slow march down. Missing the parlays which is more or less expected with the occasional surprise and push after push on my bets.

Baltimore came through. Was diapointed withe the Raiders - pushed on the over.

So is anyone listening?

Without fail after i get a huge surge of folks creturning back after a winning streak - I LOSE.

Without fail with the folks all disappear - I WIN.

I should be betting a ten game parlay. Instead I will try to bust my confidense some.

Pittsburgh at Jacksonville
Pittsburgh -145
Bet Type: Straight bet on above selections Bet Price: -145
Bet Amount: $290.00
Bet Payout: $ 490.00
Time Placed: September 18, 2006 6:12 PM


Here is a kicker - If Pittsburg wins and the total points is 26 or less - I win the company football pool. I should have bet the field instead of hand picking games :(

Sunday, September 17, 2006

 

I ain't Delusional

I know after yesterday I'm talking to myself.

Have a 4 game parlay and a straight bet. My gut says to bet on Oakland, but that would spoil the fun of watching that game - took the over instead since Oakland will keep up with Baltimore.

Tampa Bay at Atlanta
Tampa Bay +5.5 -110
NY Giants at Philadelphia (Over/Under)
Over +42.00 -110
Cleveland at Cincinnati (Over/Under)
Under +41.5 -110
Houston at Indianapolis (Over/Under)
Over +47.00 -110

bet type Combination of above 4 selections (all selections must be correct to win)
bet price+1228
bet amount$100.00
bet payout$1328.33
September 17, 2006 8:39 AM




Oakland at Baltimore (Over/Under)
Over +34.00 -110

Bet Type: Straight bet on above selections Bet Price: -110
Bet Amount: $440.00
Bet Payout: $ 840.00
September 17, 2006 8:35 AM

Saturday, September 16, 2006

 

had to bet this one

Statistics can be the kiss of death.

EVERY GAMBLER KNOWS HAWAII HAS A BIG TIME HOME FIELD ADVANTAGE. You can bet on every gambler from Las Vegas knowing this. So if the fair spread were +8 what would they bet on? If the fair spread were plus 21, what would they bet on? If the spread were 145 what would they bet on?

Personally I don't think it makes a difference. Every "professional" gambler inside the El Cortez Sport books has their money on the statistic they know. BUT THE SPORTBOOK KNEW THEY WOULD.

SelectionPrice
UNLV at Hawaii
UNLV +14.00 -110
bet type Straight bet on above selection
bet price-110bet
amount$330.00 bet payout$630.00
time placed September 16, 2006 10:55 PM

Monday, September 11, 2006

 

I really took it on the Chin Yesterday

Cashing out. Came so close to being up over $10,000. Instead I'm collecting chump change.

Sunday, September 10, 2006

 

Today I'm a Chief's fan

9/10/2006 1:34 AM Spread 2,200.00 2,000.00 Football - 212 Kansas City Chiefs -1½ -110 for Game

9/10/2006 1:36 AM Team Total 550.00 500.00 Football - 212 Kansas City Chiefs team total over 25 -110 for Game

9/10/2006 1:37 AM Money Line 640.00 500.00 Football - 212 Kansas City Chiefs -128 for Game

9/10/2006 9:02 AM Total 550.00 500.00 Football - 211 Cincinnati Bengals/Kansas City Chiefs over 48 -110 for Game

9/10/2006 9:03 AM Team Total 462.96 500.00 Football - 211 Cincinnati Bengals team total under 23 +108 for Game

 

Lost $700 yesterday

Washington - The 16 1/2 under dog was always tied or lead during the first half. And what can I say Northern Illinios disappointed me. The frustrating part of Washington is their line became 17 1/2 after I wager at 16 1/2. would have won if I waited. That's a $2,200 swing!!!


Northern Illinois 9/9/2006 3:00:01 PM - (EST)
Spread -17 -110 for Game
Amount : Risking 2,200.00 To Win 2,000.00 USD

LOST $2,200.00

Duke 9/9/2006 12:00:01 PM - (EST)
Spread +20 -110 for Game
Amount : Risking 1,100.00 To Win 1,000.00 USD

Won $1,000.00


Wyoming/Virginia 9/9/2006 3:30:01 PM - (EST)
Total Points UNDER 46 -110 for Game
Amount : Risking 1,100.00 To Win 1,000.00 USD

Won $1,000.00

California 9/9/2006 7:00:01 PM - (EST)
Spread -8 -110 for Game
Amount : Risking 660.00 To Win 600.00 USD

Won $600.00

Washington U 9/9/2006 3:30:01 PM - (EST)
Spread +16½ +100 for Game
Amount : Risking 1,100.00 To Win 1,100.00 USD

Lost $1,100.00

Saturday, September 09, 2006

 

Get Them While I'm Hot

Won yesterday, watch me win today


NCAA Football


Northern Illinois 9/9/2006 3:00:01 PM - (EST)
Spread -17 -110 for Game
Amount : Risking 2,200.00 To Win 2,000.00 USD

Duke 9/9/2006 12:00:01 PM - (EST)
Spread +20 -110 for Game

Amount : Risking 1,100.00 To Win 1,000.00 USD


Wyoming/Virginia 9/9/2006 3:30:01 PM - (EST)
Total Points UNDER 46 -110 for Game

Amount : Risking 1,100.00 To Win 1,000.00 USD

California 9/9/2006 7:00:01 PM - (EST)
Spread -8 -110 for Game

Amount : Risking 660.00 To Win 600.00 USD

Washington U 9/9/2006 3:30:01 PM - (EST)
Spread +16½ +100 for Game
Amount : Risking 1,100.00 To Win 1,100.00 USD

Friday, September 08, 2006

 

Have I Done you Wrong Yet?

Wager type : Straight Bet

Sport : NCAA Football
Selection : Pittsburgh U 9/8/2006 8:00:01 PM - (EST)
Spread -7½ -110 for Game
Amount : Risking 2,200.00 To Win 2,000.00 USD

 

I do believe I kicked some ass

My God though. What is it with all the crap they use to hype football. Those folks that had to sit their at the stadium listening to a bunch of third rate shit heads sign, must be pissed off.

This is why college football should be the only football you ever waste your money on.

Thursday, September 07, 2006

 

Is everybody ready to make some money?

9/7/2006 6:47 AM Spread 990.00 900.00 Football Pittsburgh Steelers pk -110 for Game
9/7/2006 6:18 PM Money Line 400.00 440.00 Baseball Los Angeles Dodgers +110 for Game
9/7/2006 6:18 PM Total 1,210.00 1,100.00 Football Miami Dolphins/Pittsburgh Steelers over 34 -110 for Game

Tuesday, September 05, 2006

 

Not Bad

Had over $3,000 in winnings and $1,750 in losers for the weekend.

My final bet was a bit on the high side. Need to toake a break before I inflict some damages onto myself.

Monday, September 04, 2006

 

A great weekend so far

We are up some good money

We are about to be up some more.

I like this bet and I like it alot

Wager type : Straight Bet

Sport : NCAA Football
Selection : Miami Florida 9/4/2006 8:00:01 PM - (EST)
Spread -3½ -110 for Game

Amount : Risking 1,100.00 To Win 1,000.00 USD

 

Sportbook sign-up bonuses

Thinking of capturing the sign on bonus at a book? Good-luck. They won't cheat you, but the odds are in their favor. Many books require you to roll your money over 5 times. Deposit $100. Place $500 in bets, and then you get to keep $10 to $20. The rules can impair your betting strategy, which in turn can lead you to beating up yourself.


Deposit $100 into 16 books (You veterans are pushing your luck trying to find 16 new accounts from stable books)

You now have 16 $110 to $120 accounts.

Place the full balance on one game with each book wager on a different event.

Assuming the law of averages are on your side. You will have 8 books which you lost to and no longer have a thing to worry about. With your other 8 books you now have a balance of upto to $229 per book.

Let the money roll again with on bet per book on a different event per book. Assuming the law of averages are playing fair again. You now have four books you don't have to worry about collecting from. The other four books now owe you $437 per book.

Lets repeat the process. Again with the law of averages being fair. You now have two books that you need no longer worry about, but will be very kind to you in one to two weeks. And two books that owe you $835.

Repeat the process again. You now have one book that owes you $1,595 and they will gladly pay you your $20 as part of that pay-off for you have rolled your money over enough to collect. Too bad you started with $1,600.00.

All the bonus money in the world won't save you if you have a losing record.

Does your book offer 1/2 point discounts on the line? Does your book offer reduced juice? Does your book increase payouts on horse races above and beyond that track's official payout? Does your book kick back loses once a month? Does book offer free bets on a regular basis? Does you book present enough betting option to where you can bet those odd events you have an edge on?

Bottom line is you need to win to collect. The book that gives you the greatest freedom to win may very well be better than the book that gives you $20.00

Sunday, September 03, 2006

 

Parlay Pay-off calulations

click on the image to ENLARGE

The number one search that is bringing gamblers to my blog is "parlays" and "parley" obvious some of you have questions on how they are calculate. In lame mans terms it is simply a series of bets. If the games are played one after the other you can accomplish the same results by letting your money ride onto the next game. The parlay will allow you to do this when all the games are played during the same time slot.

I just recently placed a 2 game parlay on a baseball game. The odds on the Diamond Backs to win were minus 142 and the under was minus 120. My $400 wager would return $1,249.77 or a 2.12 to 1 if it were possible to place to wager the money by letting the winnings ride. (On the multiple odd games like this don't worry about the order they are in on the spreadsheet, 2 times 3 is the same as 3 times 2).

Using the same wager on normal dime lines a two game parlay would pay $1,457.85 on a $400 wager, or 2.64 to 1.

The formual I have in the spread sheet for calulating the win column is:

+IF(D41<1,+ABS(C41/D41)*100,(D41/100)*C41)

with -
"D" being the Odds column
"ABS" stands for absolute (always positive, you can multiply by negative 1 for the same results).
"C" being the Bet column

Return of course is just your win plus your bet

Fair value is equal to

(Curent Return minus the first original Bet) divided by the first original Bet.

These calcualtions are for the fair value of a parlay based on the odds of the game. It is not necassarly what the book pays. Every book has it's own rules. Often the books are gernerious on the lower paying parlays and start getting nervious and cheap on the higher paying parlays.

If you can get by parlaying 5 games and letting the money ride on your 6th game. you might come out further ahead than parlaying all 6 tohgether at once. Of course the timing of the games will play a key roll in this. Another trick to get a higher pay off on a large number parlay, is to throw a money line or odds play into the mix among the normal lines with dime juice games. Some books will then revert back to the normal formual to calulate pay-off.

 

Baseball Parlay

Nine wouldn't let me bet the run line parlayed with the same game over under. Most books won't (to increase my pay-off I wanted Arizona minus 1 1/2 +110). Many don't even let you parlay over unders with the same game money line. But Nine was kind enough to give me that oppertunity to take more of their money.

Because baseball is not your normal 10 cent juice (odds to win or lose) the parlays pay differently than what you normally see in football. Bet the under dog and they pay quit a bit more. Bet the favors and they pay less.


Wager type : Parlay
Select #1 : MLB Baseball
Arizona Diamondbacks 9/3/2006 1:05:01 PM - (EST)
Money Line -142 for Game

B Webb -R must Start T Armas -R must Start
Select #2 : MLB Baseball
Arizona Diamondbacks/Wash Nationals 9/3/2006 1:05:01 PM - (EST)
Total Points UNDER 9 -120 for Game
B Webb -R must Start T Armas -R must Start
Amount : Risking 400.00 To Win 849.77 USD

 

WON a 5 game parlay!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

So far I won the Oregon Duck bet and my 5 Game Parlay for favorits

plus $300 on the Ducks
plus $2,709.00 on the Parlay

Losing bets are:

$50 on the Hail Mary Parlay
$100 on the under dog parlay

Outstanding bets:

$100 to win $135 on Memphis to win outright.


Kicking ass so far. How are you doing with your lottery number?

Saturday, September 02, 2006

 

Up so far, but not by much

Still have one parlay tat could sweep me deep into the black.

In the mean time I am going with Memphis money line - risking $100 to win $135.

 

Oregon ducks

Nine.com

Wager type : Straight Bet

Sport : NCAA Football
Selection : Oregon 9/2/2006 3:30:01 PM - (EST)
Spread -12 -110 for Game

Amount : Risking 330.00 To Win 300.00 USD

 

A Dog Day Afternoon

Nine.com

Wager type : Parlay 5 Game
Select #1 : NCAA Football
Vanderbilt 9/2/2006 12:00:01 PM - (EST)
Spread +26 -110 for Game
Select #2 : NCAA Football
Akron 9/2/2006 3:30:01 PM - (EST)
Spread +17½ -110 for Game
Select #3 : NCAA Football
Idaho 9/2/2006 12:00:01 PM - (EST)
Spread +29½ -110 for Game
Select #4 : NCAA Football
Western Michigan 9/2/2006 6:00:01 PM - (EST)
Spread +7 -110 for Game
Select #5 : NCAA Football
Florida Atlantic 9/2/2006 3:30:01 PM - (EST)
Spread +31 -110 for Game

Amount : Risking 100.00 To Win 2,709.00 USD

 

Saturday Favorites

Nine.com

Wager type : Parlay 5 Game
Select #1 : NCAA Football
Wisconsin 9/2/2006 7:00:01 PM - (EST)
Spread -10½ -110 for Game
Select #2 : NCAA Football
Oregon 9/2/2006 3:30:01 PM - (EST)
Spread -12 -110 for Game
Select #3 : NCAA Football
UCLA 9/2/2006 7:00:01 PM - (EST)
Spread -3 -110 for Game
Select #4 : NCAA Football
Pittsburgh U 9/2/2006 7:00:01 PM - (EST)
Spread -3½ -110 for Game
Select #5 : NCAA Football
USC 9/2/2006 8:45:01 PM - (EST)
Spread -8 -110 for Game

Amount : Risking 100.00 To Win 2,709.00 USD

 

A Hail Mary Pass

Some of the lines changed So I didn't placed the full 10 games - Nine is the better book for up to 8 teams

Nine.com

Wager type : Parlay 7 Game
Select #1 : NCAA Football
Vanderbilt 9/2/2006 12:00:01 PM - (EST)
Spread +26 -110 for Game
Select #2 : NCAA Football
Marshall 9/2/2006 3:30:01 PM - (EST)
Spread +22 -110 for Game
Select #3 : NCAA Football
Oregon 9/2/2006 3:30:01 PM - (EST)
Spread -12 -110 for Game
Select #4 : NCAA Football
SO Mississippi 9/2/2006 6:00:01 PM - (EST)
Spread +20½ -110 for Game
Select #5 : NCAA Football
North Texas 9/2/2006 12:00:01 PM - (EST)
Spread +41 -110 for Game
Select #6 : NCAA Football
UL Lafayette 9/2/2006 8:00:01 PM - (EST)
Spread +30½ -110 for Game

Select #7 : NCAA Football
TCU 9/3/2006 5:30:01 PM - (EST)
Spread -6½ -110 for Game

Amount : Risking 50.00 To Win 5,045.00 USD

Friday, September 01, 2006

 

SERENITY NOW SERENITY NOW

Serenity NOW

My flight was cancel to Vegas. This is like waking up to find out Santa Claus skipped your house.

Now I have to move my money back through the channels to the online sport books.

SERENITY NOW SERENITY NOW SERENITY NOW

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