Sunday, March 12, 2006

 

Baseball - Preseason Point totals Over/Unders

Home Run per Team 2005

Group 1
Texas Rangers 260
New York Yankees 229
Cincinnati Reds 222
Cleveland Indians 207
Chicago White Sox 200
Boston Red Sox 199
Group 2
Chicago Cubs 194
Arizona Diamondbacks 191
Baltimore Orioles 189
Atlanta Braves 184
Group 3
Milwaukee Brewers 175
New York Mets 175
St. Louis Cardinals 170
Detroit Tigers 168
Philadelphia Phillies 167
Houston Astros 161
Group 4
Tampa Bay Devil Rays 157
Oakland Athletics 155
Colorado Rockies 150
Los Angeles Dodgers 149
Los Angeles Angels 147
Pittsburgh Pirates 139
Group 5
Toronto Blue Jays 136
Minnesota Twins 134
Seattle Mariners 130
San Diego Padres 130
San Francisco Giants 128
Florida Marlins 128
Kansas City Royals 126
Washington Nationals 117


Without considering anything else - of course you must consider everything. But without considering anything else my suggestion to you in betting the pre-season baseball games point totals are as follows:

Take the 2 teams playing an ad the two number together depending on the group they are in, then divide by two. If you end up with a 1 to 2 - bet the under. If you end up with a 2.1 to 3.4 - don’t bet. If you end up with a 3.5 to 5 -bet the over.

This is only my pre-season suggestion and has nothing to do with the regular season. My thoughts on why this will make you money is as follows:

I myself am a middle age, out of shape, little white guy with little athletic ability. With some things I am right handed, other things I am left handed. It all depends on which muscle I use. When standing at the plate hitting a soft-ball (like a left handed person) all my muscles work in perfect harmony. It’s the oddest thing. I can’t do squat athletically other than hit a ball. I am usually the smallest most out of shape person on the softball team. I am also the power hitter. Now my perspective on this is from a grossly out of shape batter, but what I do know from my extreme example is that a man can only power hit so many times without injuring himself. A professional’s athlete’s risk of injury is far less than mine when hitting a baseball, but his risks of lost income are far greater than mine.

I’m simply betting the teams that depend on power hitters to score their runs won’t be risking their players health during pre-season.





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